The Mets’ decision on Edwin Diaz is turning into a tricky one, and it could end up costing them dearly. On paper, it might seem financially sensible to hesitate before offering a five-year deal to a closer whose hard-hit rate has significantly increased, from 30.3% in 2024 to 39.7% in 2025. However, insiders, including a former Mets GM, argue that it’s unwise to walk away from an elite arm, particularly after Diaz posted a 1.63 ERA, a 0.87 WHIP, and a 3.0 WAR, even with Devin Williams already in the bullpen.
“Edwin Díaz is going to be really, really hard to replace,” warned former Mets GM Buck Showalter.
The concern surrounding Diaz’s potential return to New York has intensified, fueled by his statement that his chances of returning were 50-50 and that contract specifics hadn’t been discussed. Adding to the pressure is the Mets’ recent acquisition of Yankees closer Devin Williams.
While the bullpen situation appears manageable with Williams, the situation on the offensive side is more precarious. No readily available alternative truly matches Diaz’s caliber. Former GM Buck Showalter believes this hesitancy is a risky move for current GM David Stearns.
Interestingly, the Mets’ approach mirrors their strategy with star slugger Pete Alonso. Alonso’s strong return in 2025—leading the National League with 41 doubles—highlights his continued value and importance to the team’s identity. Unlike the bullpen, letting Alonso go would leave a significant void.
The Mets’ careful approach to both Diaz and Alonso demonstrates a heightened awareness of the potential consequences. While the team might believe they have time to make the right decisions, the risk is significantly greater with Alonso.